Picture
Potential Surprise: The Ghost Writer
Overlooked: Somewhere
Director
Alternate: David O. Russell for The Fighter
Potential Surprise: Debra Granik for Winter's BoneOverlooked: Derek Cianfrance for Blue Valentine
Lead Actor
Alternate: Javier Bardem for Biutiful
Potential Surprise: Mark Wahlberg for The FighterOverlooked: Ben Stiller for Greenberg
Lead Actor: Close Up
Lead Actress
Potential Surprise: Tilda Swinton for I Am Love
Overlooked: Greta Gerwig for Greenberg
Lead Actress: Close Up
Supporting Actor
Alternate: Mark Ruffalo for The Kids Are All Right
Potential Surprise: Justin Timberlake for The Social Network
Overlooked: Vincent Cassel for Black Swan
Supporting Actor: Close Up
Supporting Actress
Potential Surprise: Olivia Williams for The Ghost Writer
Overlooked: Rooney Mara for The Social Network
Supporting Actress: Close Up
Original Screenplay
Alternate: Another Year
Potential Surprise: Please Give
Overlooked: I Am Love
Adapted Screenplay
Alternate: 127 Hours
Potential Surprise: Shutter Island
Overlooked Contender: I Love You Philip Morris
Cinematography
Alternate: The King's Speech
Potential Surprise: Never Let Me Go
Overlooked: I Am Love
Art Direction
Alternate: Harry Potter and the Deathly Hallows
Potential Surprise: Robin Hood
Overlooked: Scott Pilgrim vs. the World
Editing
Alternate: The Fighter
Potential Surprise: Salt
Overlooked: Exit Through the Gift Shop
Costume Design
Alternate: Burlesque
Potential Surprise: Tron: Legacy
Overlooked: Centurion
Alternate: 127 Hours
Potential Surprise: How To Train Your Dragon
Overlooked: I Am Love
Alternate: Iron Man 2
Potential Surprise: Robin Hood
Overlooked: Scott Pilgrim vs. the World
Score
Alternate: Alice in Wonderland
Potential Surprise: Tron: Legacy
Overlooked: Let Me In
Best Song
Alternate: Coming Home from Country Strong
Potential Surprise: Never Say Never from The Karate Kid
Overlooked: Beans, Bangers and Mash from Get Him to the Greek
Make Up
Alternate: Barney's Version
Potential Surprise: Jonah Hex
Overlooked: Black Swan
Visual Effects
Alternate: Alice in Wonderland
Potential Surprise: Scott Pilgrim vs. the World
Overlooked: The Social Network
Animated Film
Alternate: Tangled
Potential Surprise: My Dog Tulip
some wild predictions there...
ReplyDeleteno INCEPTION in EDITING, that's rare
and i would love to see JULIANNE MOORE in the best actress race but that would be a huge surprise
and also i don't get why would JULIANNE be in but MARK RUFFALO will miss
I really hope David O. Russell makes it for Best Director...
ReplyDeleteThe lack of Inception in editing was a goof. It should be in the True Grit spot. Oops.
ReplyDeleteAs for Ruffalo and Moore, that's a fair point. I think its just that the ladies each get their share of dramatic "Oscar clip" moments but Ruffalo has the the laid back character who doesn't get to cry and recite monologues. No slight against Ruffalo of course. I thought he was stellar in the role and if you read my Supporting Actor analysis you'll see I was this close to predicting him. I just had six guys for five slots and he struck me as the guy most likely to land the snub. We shall see.
Robert - You and me both. Just imagine what The Fighter would've been like without him at the helm. Cinderella Man in Massachusetts.
ReplyDeleteI haven't seen the Illusionist, so I really can't comment (I wish I had though, I think it was on at MIFF last year) but I can't imagine Tangled not being nominated. I pretty much go along with everything else though - at least, nothing else I can think of right now haha
ReplyDeleteRuth - I was sorta surprised myself when I left it off, but there it is. I think a good percentage of the animation branch is going to be very impressed with that film's achievement and the category has shown itself willing to go outside the usual Hollywood options in the past - Howl's Moving Castle, The Secret of Kells, Persepolis, etc.
ReplyDeleteGood picks. No love for Shutter Island's cinematography?
ReplyDelete