May 11 Update - With Great Gatsby going bust with critics - and Behind the Candelabra relegated to television - it's all quiet on the Best Actor front for the first half of 2013. With one notable indie exception, that is.
No Locks Yet
Michael B Jordan - Fruitvale Station
Ethan Hawke - Before Midnight
Playing a normal dude in a talky romance is most definitely not to Oscar's fast in this category no matter how deeply felt the performance.