May 11 Update - McConaughey got the field to himself right now.
No Locks Yet
Matthew McConaughey - Mud
Nobody's got career momentum like McConaughey does right now. That and healthy box office for an indie, could keep this one in the conversation. 
James Franco - Spring Breakers
I know, I know. But it would be great, wouldn't it. And it's not like there haven't been worse nominations.
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